Vertiv Deep Dive: Bull Case - Upside to $150
Key Points
- Vertiv leading supplier of power and thermal management solutions (UPS, cooling, racks, services)
- Positioned to benefit from AI infrastructure explosion driving datacenter buildout
- Thermal management TAM of ~$13B by CY27 across all Vertiv solutions
- Upside scenario of $150 stock price based on 27x P/E and bull case CY26 EPS target
- High-teens to low-20s consistent sales growth expected with low-30s incremental margins
Bull Case Scenario
- Upside case assumes Vertiv outperforms on both hyperscale growth and margin expansion
- Revenue per megawatt opportunity of $2.5-3.5M for Vertiv (thermal + power + racks + services)
- Thermal management alone can drive 8-11% LT growth framework upside
- Bull case execution requires delivering on operational performance and net pricing
Investment Highlights
- AI datacenter buildout unlocking massive thermal management opportunity
- Market recognizing Vertiv's competitive positioning and technology differentiation
- Margin expansion potential through scale and system-level selling approach
- Strong backlog and pipeline supporting long-term growth visibility
Source
- File:
Vertiv_Evercore_Deep Dive13_Mar_2024.pdf - Location: Dropbox/2. Semi/Datacenter/Liquid cooling/Vertiv-initiation/
- Pages: 37
- Date: March 13, 2024
- Publisher: Evercore ISI
Related
- _MOC-datacenter
- vertiv-q4-2024-earnings
- liquid-cooling-opportunity-deepdive-isi
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