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sector src/equity-researchsemi/datacenterstatus/complete 2024-03-13

Vertiv Deep Dive: Bull Case - Upside to $150

Key Points

  • Vertiv leading supplier of power and thermal management solutions (UPS, cooling, racks, services)
  • Positioned to benefit from AI infrastructure explosion driving datacenter buildout
  • Thermal management TAM of ~$13B by CY27 across all Vertiv solutions
  • Upside scenario of $150 stock price based on 27x P/E and bull case CY26 EPS target
  • High-teens to low-20s consistent sales growth expected with low-30s incremental margins

Bull Case Scenario

  • Upside case assumes Vertiv outperforms on both hyperscale growth and margin expansion
  • Revenue per megawatt opportunity of $2.5-3.5M for Vertiv (thermal + power + racks + services)
  • Thermal management alone can drive 8-11% LT growth framework upside
  • Bull case execution requires delivering on operational performance and net pricing

Investment Highlights

  • AI datacenter buildout unlocking massive thermal management opportunity
  • Market recognizing Vertiv's competitive positioning and technology differentiation
  • Margin expansion potential through scale and system-level selling approach
  • Strong backlog and pipeline supporting long-term growth visibility

Source

  • File: Vertiv_Evercore_Deep Dive13_Mar_2024.pdf
  • Location: Dropbox/2. Semi/Datacenter/Liquid cooling/Vertiv-initiation/
  • Pages: 37
  • Date: March 13, 2024
  • Publisher: Evercore ISI

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