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topic src/equity-researchstatus/complete 2020-11-23

ALGM — Credit Suisse Initiation (Nov 2020)

Key Points

  • Initiate ALGM with Outperform rating; establish CY21/22 EPS of $0.52/$0.70 driving a $27 Target Price
  • Core IP in Magnetic Sensors and Power ASICs with optionality in LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging)
  • Most levered Semis to Autos (~70% of revenue versus 15-20% semi industry average)
  • Long duration end markets in Auto/Industrial (~85% of revenue) with 3+ year design cycles followed by 7+ years of highly visible revenue streams
  • Accelerating content in Auto from ~5% CAGR to 7-9% CAGR, allowing ALGM to grow Auto revenue at 10-15% CAGR

Business Model

  • Three core areas: (1) Magnetic sensors, (2) ASIC analog power ICs, and (3) LiDAR
  • Heavy automotive/industrial exposure with long product cycles and visible visibility
  • Design cycle to revenue ramp: 3+ years design followed by 7+ years revenue visibility

Valuation & Target

  • Target Price: $27.00 (12-month)
  • Rating: Outperform
  • CY21E EPS: $0.52
  • CY22E EPS: $0.70

Source

  • File: ALGM-CS-_23Nov2020.pdf
  • Location: Dropbox/2. Semi/_Individual Stock/1. Semis/1. Automotive/ALGM/
  • Date: November 23, 2020

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